SEVERE STORMS SUNDAY NIGHT?

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Storms have managed to not form the last couple of days across the entire forecast reigon. The main culprit for this has been the persistant CAP and low cloud cover. I have to apologize for the in accurate forecast, sometimes you have all the right ingredients for Thunderstorms and Severe Weather, but if you have a CAP of warm air over the region, none of those parameters even matter.

On to the forecast the cold front will move through the region tonight, but not much cold air will filter into the region and not much less humid air will either. All this moisture will result in Fog Saturday Morning over areas from I-80 north. Temperatures over the weekend should be in the upper 80s across the entire forecast region. A few isolated storms may form Sunday Night in response to a weather system in Western Nebraska. We will have to watch these storms as a few could be strong to severe.

Temperatures in fact all week long should be in the Mid – Upper 80s across the entire region. The next chance for precipitation next comes on Monday-Wednesday time frame and will have to watch those for potential Severe weather. Stay tuned.

THE BIG STORY: Scattered Severe Storms this afternoon?

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Hello everyone and good Friday Morning. Thursdays Severe Weather Outbreak ceased to exsist across the entire region. Let me explain what clearly went wrong. Yesterday morning a batch of cloud and showers made their way down into Eastern Nebraska and Western Iowa. The yproduced an outflow boundry which crossed much of our viewing area and left quite a few clouds for a while before clearing again. This outflow paved the way for cooler mid level temperature and hindered Storms from developing along with the decent sized CAP that formed over the region, thus Severe Storms never formed across the region.

As we head through the day today the Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk for Severe Storms across much of the state of Nebraska wit an incoming cold front across the region. What does this mean? It means Large Hal and Strong Winds will be possible across the region, the chances of this happening are at about 40-50% shot and if anything forms, should be over by 5:00 PM

As the cold front moves through later today temperatures will be coolest from I-80 northward with temps in the mid 80s for Saturday with barely less humid conditions. As we head through the rest of Sunday and next week it appears that Thunderstorm Chances will increase and should have a chance about every day along with temperatures in the upper 80s all week long. Some storms could actually be severe so stay tuned.

SEVERE STORM OUTBREAK TODAY!

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Hello and good Thursday to BigRedWeather.com viewers! After a few early morning Thunderstorms in the region we have got quite a Busy and Stormy afternoon and evening ahead for ourselves! Lets gets down to the situation right away. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a slight risk for Severe Storms over much of the State of Nebraska and Iowa. Right now the parameters look rather impressive with impressive dew points in the mid-upper 70s. This is a very moist atmosphere that will be spreading North from the Gulf of Mexico. Other parameters such as the CAPE is around 3000-4500 which is very high for severe storm outbreaks. Everything is in place for Severe Storm Outbreak across the entire viewing area. The entire viewing area is placed in the highest risk area. By looking at all these parameters, it appesr that VERY Large Hail to the size of baseballs will be possible, Damaging Straight line winds that could cause damage and possible ISOLATED TORNADOS will all be likely across the entire viewing area. A moderate risk was not issued with this newest update, but i think their is a decent liklihood of them issuing a Moderate risk for the viewing area with the next update. This even has the potential to be a significant outbreak that we havent seen all season considering our viewing area hasnt really been tested with immense amounts of Severe Storms. Please continue to stay tuned to BigRedWeather.com for more updates through this developing Severe Weather situation. This story will be my main focal point through Thursday and this Severe Storm Outbreak issue has to be addressed alone by itself. In addition, I will be going out storm chasing so no updates will be made in the afternoon and evening hours.

SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT?(7/8)

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SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT? (7/8/09 | 11:03 PM): THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS FROM COLUMBUS TO FREMONT ON NORTHWARD. CURRENTLY SEVERE STORMS DEVELOPING OVER SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST. IT DOES APPEARS THAT AREAS MAINLY ALONG I-80 AND NORTH HAVE A CHANCE AT BEING AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS, BUT IT APPEARS TO BE TOO CLOSE TO CALL AT THIS POINT. SO PLEASE CONTINUE TO CHECK FOR MORE UPDATES CONCERNING THESE “POSSIBLE” STORMS.

SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT(AGAIN!)

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SEVERE STORM UPDATE(7/8/09 | 9:13 AM): THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS FOR THE ENTIRE VIEWING AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS, BUT DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE STORMS SHOULD FORM INTO SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST REGION. STAY TUNED FOR MORE UPDATES.

THE BIG STORY: HEAT AND SEVERE STORM OUTBREAK FRIDAY?

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Hello and good Wednesday to everyone. Portions of the viewing area had a wild and loud early morning hours. Storms formed over portions of Northwest Iowa and Southeast South Dakota. At that point it seemed like it would miss us, but just as quickly storms re developed westward and heading due south through extreme Eastern Nebraska and Western Iowa. Bringing with it reports of Damaging Winds, power flicker and areas of .50-1.00″ of rainfall. It also turns out that BigRedWeather.com’s forecast for Storms to form mainly east of a line from Norfolk to Falls City.

As we head through today, hot temperatures will be moving in once again and sticky conditions should persist as humid air rushes northward into the region. High temperatures should mainly be in the upper 80s to lower 90s. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a slight risk for Severe Storms over portions of Northeast Nebraska once again and general very slight risk for marginally severe isolated storms later Wednesday night from Lincoln to Falls city on Northwest from that. Again, it appears that a very small likilhood for storms to maintain strength through our viewing area, but it appears that the Low Level Jet helped the storms form more westward and maintain themselves. Nevertheless, storms expected to form over South Dakota and possible move southeast to affect areas in Eastern Nebraska with best Severe Storm Risk over portions of Northeast Nebraska mainly from Norfolk to Sioux City Line.

THUNDERSTORM UPDATE(9:31 PM)

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UPDATE(9:25 PM | 7/7/09 ): This is a third update from BigRedWeather.com. Currently severe storms are developing over portions of Iowa and portions of Southeast South Dakota and Northeast Nebraska. Currently it appears that the storms are moving due south and southeast. Currently the areas that look to be affected in Eastern Nebraska are from Norfolk to Omaha on Eastward with areas such as Omaha jsut barely getting hit.The reason im saying that Omaha may just barely get hit because westward development is occuring in southeast South Dakota and Northeast Nebraska. it was be a close call for the above mentioned Nebraska areas but the chance is still for a miss in those areas. As always stay tuned.

SEVERE STORM UPDATE

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UPDATE(2:35 PM | 7/7/09 ): THIS IS A SECOND UPDATE FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER CONTINUES SLIGHT RISK FOR COLUMBUS TO SIOUX CITY IOWA ON EAST OF THAT. A STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOON TO BE ISSUED THROUGH CENTRAL IOWA. THIS IS THE BATCH THAT WILL MISS THE VIEWING AREA, BUT A SECOND AREA SHOULD DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST AFFECTING AREAS FROM COLUMBUS TO NEBRASKA CITY ON EASTWARD. HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT

SEVERE STORM UPDATE

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UPDATE(11:14 AM | 7/7/09 ): I AM UPDATING THIS BECAUSE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT IN THE REGION. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK MAINLY FROM AREAS NORTH OF A LINE FROM COLUMBUS TO SIOUX CITY IOWA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE, BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO COULD FORM IN EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NEBRASKA. AREAS SOUTH OF THAT LINE MAINLY FROM BEATRICE TO LINCOLN TO OMAHA TO COUNCIL BLUFFS COULD SEE A FEW STORMS LATER ON THIS EVENING, BUT NO SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED WITH THAT. THE MAIN THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL HAVE ALREADY MOVED INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IOWA. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR MORE UPDATES CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION.

THE BIG STORY: POSSIBLE STORMS THEN THE HEAT MOVES IN

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Hello everyone I hope you are having a great Monday and another start off to work for the week. Todays high temperatures sprouted into the lower – middle 80s, a little lower then what Big Red Weather Forecasted, but roughly close. A small thunderstorms even developed near the Omaha Metro area, but didnt produce any significant weather. As you also noticed the air feels a bit more sticky and will continue to rise through the upcoming couple of days.

On to the forecast, and The Big Weather story is the possible Storms plus severe storms over parts of the region. The storm prediction center has issued a Slight risk for portions of the viewing area, generally from Columbus to Fremont to Little Sioux Iowa. The main threats would be large hail and strong winds. Areas below that should have a slight chance at receiving thunderstorms, but those chances are low due to the cap. Forecast models develop storms first in Southeast South Dakota and develop southward into the above mentioned areas and then moves southeast through northern Iowa and Central Iowa near Des Moines. Temperatures Tuesday will be near 90 with dew points rising as well making for a sticky Tuesday. Low temperatures will roughly be in the 60s through the area.

After that the heat is on across the region. The heat dome will build into the region with relalative humidity increasing as well through friday. This will in turn make for a uncomfortable couple of days. High temperatures will surge into the 90s and upper 80s witha touch of humidity in the upper 60s for dew points. This heat wave should not be as brutal across the region because the heat ridge isnt as strong this time around and the highest temperatures should occur from I-80 south. The heat dome should break down by Friday with cold front moving into the region with a shot for thunderstorms, some possibly severe if we can get the right ingredients with the cold front at the right time. Bottom line is that the heat is building back in, chance for severe weather over northeast nebraska, west central Iowa and chance for storms later on friday.