SEVERE STORM UPDATE

7 07 2009

VIEW MORE FORECAST AT BIGREDWEATHER.COM

UPDATE(2:35 PM | 7/7/09 ): THIS IS A SECOND UPDATE FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER CONTINUES SLIGHT RISK FOR COLUMBUS TO SIOUX CITY IOWA ON EAST OF THAT. A STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOON TO BE ISSUED THROUGH CENTRAL IOWA. THIS IS THE BATCH THAT WILL MISS THE VIEWING AREA, BUT A SECOND AREA SHOULD DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST AFFECTING AREAS FROM COLUMBUS TO NEBRASKA CITY ON EASTWARD. HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT

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SEVERE STORM UPDATE

7 07 2009

MORE AT BIGREDWEATHER.COM

UPDATE(11:14 AM | 7/7/09 ): I AM UPDATING THIS BECAUSE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT IN THE REGION. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK MAINLY FROM AREAS NORTH OF A LINE FROM COLUMBUS TO SIOUX CITY IOWA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE, BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO COULD FORM IN EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NEBRASKA. AREAS SOUTH OF THAT LINE MAINLY FROM BEATRICE TO LINCOLN TO OMAHA TO COUNCIL BLUFFS COULD SEE A FEW STORMS LATER ON THIS EVENING, BUT NO SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED WITH THAT. THE MAIN THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL HAVE ALREADY MOVED INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IOWA. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR MORE UPDATES CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION.





THE BIG STORY: POSSIBLE STORMS THEN THE HEAT MOVES IN

7 07 2009

MORE FORECAST AT BIGREDWEATHER.COM

Hello everyone I hope you are having a great Monday and another start off to work for the week. Todays high temperatures sprouted into the lower – middle 80s, a little lower then what Big Red Weather Forecasted, but roughly close. A small thunderstorms even developed near the Omaha Metro area, but didnt produce any significant weather. As you also noticed the air feels a bit more sticky and will continue to rise through the upcoming couple of days.

On to the forecast, and The Big Weather story is the possible Storms plus severe storms over parts of the region. The storm prediction center has issued a Slight risk for portions of the viewing area, generally from Columbus to Fremont to Little Sioux Iowa. The main threats would be large hail and strong winds. Areas below that should have a slight chance at receiving thunderstorms, but those chances are low due to the cap. Forecast models develop storms first in Southeast South Dakota and develop southward into the above mentioned areas and then moves southeast through northern Iowa and Central Iowa near Des Moines. Temperatures Tuesday will be near 90 with dew points rising as well making for a sticky Tuesday. Low temperatures will roughly be in the 60s through the area.

After that the heat is on across the region. The heat dome will build into the region with relalative humidity increasing as well through friday. This will in turn make for a uncomfortable couple of days. High temperatures will surge into the 90s and upper 80s witha touch of humidity in the upper 60s for dew points. This heat wave should not be as brutal across the region because the heat ridge isnt as strong this time around and the highest temperatures should occur from I-80 south. The heat dome should break down by Friday with cold front moving into the region with a shot for thunderstorms, some possibly severe if we can get the right ingredients with the cold front at the right time. Bottom line is that the heat is building back in, chance for severe weather over northeast nebraska, west central Iowa and chance for storms later on friday.





SEVERE STORMS?

6 07 2009

More Forecast at BigRedWeather.com

Folks, it appears that severe storms will be possible over portions of Northeast Nebraska and West Central Iowa Tuesday evening. Please stay tuned for BIGREDWEATHER.COM for more details!





THE BIG STORY: HEAT & POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS?

6 07 2009

MORE FORECAST AT BIGREDWEATHER.COM

I hope everyone enjoyed this wonderful summer day with high temperatures in the upper 7os to lower 80s today. Perfect for riding a bike, taking a run or simply sitting out on the front deck. Summertime humidity wasnt with us as well which made it even more so pleasent for this sunday, July 5th. But as we head throughout this week, that will change as a ridge starts to develop over the Central United States. First things first and the day by day forecast. As we head through tonight low temperatures will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s with low releative humidity, making it for a perfect night for camping and opening that window you have so long desired to all summer! As we head through the day Monday, this is when the transition takes place, high temperatures will begin to soar into the middle to upper 80s to near 90 degrees. Dew points and humidity will also be on the upglide through the day with dew points creeping up into the lower to middle 60s.

Tuesday gets interesting with a storm system approacing the area. The storm prediction center has issued a Slight risk for severe thunderstorms for a good portions of the viewing area, especially from Columbus to Little Sioux Iowa on Northwest. Ingredients will come together, such as CAPE in excess of 2000-3000, combined with middle to upper 60 dew points will create the chances of severe storms developing. But, a CAP of warm air will remain just above the surface, preventing thunderstorms from forming. If storms develop they would most likely occur in Northeast Nebraska and Northwestern and West Central Iowa where the CAP will be weaker and more dyamics to bust the cap will be present. I would say areas such as Norfolk, Columbus and Little Sioux Iowa have a better shot at seeing this happen. Things can change so please stay tuned for more information on this potential stormy weather in the region Tuesday.

Now the real heat begins later past Wednesday. High temperatures should soar into the lower – middle 90s Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. Also, the humidity will begin to increase dramatically with dew points surgining into the lower – middle 70s making fora deadly combo with heat indices approaching 100 possibly. This heat wave will not be nearly as strong as the last one, but it will be pretty brutal considering what we have been through this weekend with upper 60s and virtually no humidity. What goes up must come down of course, Saturday or friday could be the transition day to cooler temps. And also, some thunderstorms may erupt along a front with possible severe storms if the right ingredients come toghether. Bottom line is that Severe storms will be possible Tuesday over parts of the viewing area if the CAP can break and Heat is on for the end of the week.





THE BIG STORY: FALL LIKE TO HEAT WAVE IN 7 DAYS!!!

5 07 2009

More forecast at BIGREDWEATHER.COM

I hope everyone had a great 4th of July. Despite the Cool weather in the 60s and 70s and clouds all day not to mention the heavy drizzle that fell on my head, it was a good evening for fire work viewing. No Mosquitos or bugs to speak of. Take a good walk before the weekend is over because this tranquil weather and temperatures will not last beyond Sunday. As we head towards Sunday, it should actually be quite a much better day then this Saturday. The clouds will have been completely eroded, and high temperatures will be in the lower to Middle 80s. Ideal weather for a picnic and throwing the frisbee around. As we head through monday-Tuesday things really begin to heat up across the entire viewing area. High temperatures will soar to near 90 degrees Monday and into the lower 90s by Tuesday as well as Wednesday. Also, Humidity values will begin to rise as well with the high heat by the end of the week. What does this all mean? It means High Heat Index values will once again be possible across the viewing area. The hottest days of the last two weeks will center around Thursday and Friday when high temos could be over 95-97 degrees over much of the viewing area. Combined with humidity values as well. I wouldnt be too surprised if a Heat Advisory was issued for the region later on this week.

This whole pattern responsible for the heat that will soon build into the region is a ZOnal Flow pattern, and jet stream, which flos from west to East bringing some storm systems as well as windy conditions. This will also be responsible for a ridge of high pressure and that is what is centering the hot area of high pressure over the Center of the Nation. But, by Saturday, a cold front will move into the region, bringing with it possible Scattered Thunderstorms, some severe with all this heat and humidity mixed in. It isnt for sure in the books right now for Severe Storms occuring later in the week, but past history shows that this could happen. Bottom line is that this cool damp weather will soon transition into a real comfortable summer day Sunday then to real downright nasty by the end of the week. This is the Midwest folks, Fall and summer like weather all in one week. Have a nice rest of your weekend and stay tuned for more weather forecast!





THE BIG STORY: CLOUDY AND COOL 4TH OF JULY! BUT DRY!

4 07 2009

MORE FORECAST AT BIGREDWEATHER.COM

Ah i can smell the hot dogs, the ribs and smell the smell of gun powder! But will mother nature hamper our fireworks? The question is no. Today’s Fourth is likely to be one we havent seen in a long while. High temperatures will be quite cool for July standards due to cloud cover throughout the entire day. During today the rain chance is pretty slim at about a 20% chance so i would not hesitate at this point to light those firecrackers during the day! As we progress through the day the high temps will peak at 72-77 degrees due to the cloud cover, Infact this may be the coolest Fourth of July since the early 1900’s for some cities, please scroll below the fireworks image to see some history!. The moment we have been all waiting for. The night of the fireworks! Once again clouds will linger and may start to break apart before 10 PM Saturday evening with temps cooling into the lower 70s and into the upper 60s. Conditions should be perfect for setting off fireworks with cool conditions, and no rain chance at all..I would rate this 4th of July at about a B+. Please enjoy your holiday and please continue to stay tuned to bigredweather.com for more Holiday Forecast details.